The last time we had a hurricane here, ten years ago; it was fairly mild, despite the dire predictions of the Weather Bureau. So even though the Weather Bureau is advising us to evacuate before this current hurricane strikes, I think we'll stay. This one will be too mild.
A. Medium to strong justification.
B. Fallacy of hasty generalization.
C. A post hoc fallacy.
D. A fallacious appeal to authority.



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