Select "Spin" to start the spinner.

\begin{tabular}{|c|c|}
\hline Result & Count \\
\hline Elisondra & 2 \\
\hline Diya & 2 \\
\hline Sarah & 3 \\
\hline Raquel & 0 \\
\hline Total & 7 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}

Use the interactive spinner to simulate who among Elisondra and her three friends will order first during 40 restaurant visits.

If the theoretical probability of Sarah ordering first is 0.25, what is the experimental probability of Sarah ordering first?

Experimental Probability:

[tex]\[ P(\text{Sarah}) = \frac{\text{Observed frequency}}{\text{Number of trials}} = \][/tex]

[tex]\[
\begin{array}{c}
\square \\
0.20 \\
0.25 \\
0.35 \\
\end{array}
\][/tex]



Answer :

To determine the experimental probability of Sarah ordering first during 40 restaurant visits, let's proceed through the following steps:

1. Observe the initial frequency data:
- From the initial trials, Sarah ordered first 3 times out of 7.

2. Scale the observed frequency to match the 40 total visits:
- We need to scale the observed frequency of Sarah ordering first during the initial 7 visits to match the 40 total visits.
- If Sarah ordered first 3 times out of 7 visits, we can find the equivalent frequency for 40 visits by using a ratio:

[tex]\[ \text{Scaled observed frequency} = \left(\frac{\text{Observed frequency initial}}{\text{Number of trials initial}}\right) \times \text{Total visits} \][/tex]
[tex]\[ \text{Scaled observed frequency} = \left(\frac{3}{7}\right) \times 40 \approx 17.142857142857142 \][/tex]

3. Calculate the experimental probability:
- The experimental probability is defined as the ratio of the observed frequency to the total number of trials.
- Therefore, the experimental probability of Sarah ordering first is:

[tex]\[ P(\text{Sarah}) = \frac{\text{Scaled observed frequency}}{\text{Total visits}} \][/tex]
[tex]\[ P(\text{Sarah}) = \frac{17.142857142857142}{40} \approx 0.42857142857142855 \][/tex]

Thus, the experimental probability of Sarah ordering first is approximately [tex]\(0.42857142857142855\)[/tex].

Given this probability value, let’s compare it with the provided options:

- 0.20
- 0.25
- 0.35

The closest matching option to [tex]\(0.42857142857142855\)[/tex] is not listed here directly. Therefore, based on the calculation, the experimental probability does not match any of the given multiple-choice options exactly but it best corresponds to approximately 0.43 (which would ideally be the correct choice if it was listed).

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